The CIA summarized its findings in four points:
- On July 17, Moscow did not extend the Black Sea grain delivery agreement, therefore The security guarantees that were intended to ensure the safety of grain-carrying ships essentially no longer existed. Russia is trying to deter all ships from Ukrainian ports.
- Perhaps the Kremlin made this decision earlier, Because he saw that the grain deal no longer serves his interests. Earlier, Moscow said it was concerned about the safety of civilian ships, because Ukraine had mined the area and was using the security corridor for “military purposes”. They could not provide proof of the latter statement, and the mines were cleared long before the grain agreement was concluded.
- On July 19, the Russian Ministry of Defense also announced that MThe ship bound for Ukraine is seen as a possible arms shipment.
- Russia’s Black Sea Fleet will certainly take a more active part in the fighting again and will disrupt ships bound for Ukrainian ports. At the same time The Russian fleet is also at risk from Ukrainian drones and anti-ship missiles.
Cover image illustration, Source: Alexyz3d via Getty Images
