In several districts of Budapest, individual electoral districts will have to be redrawn before local government elections next June, because due to the decline in population, fewer representative states will be allocated – this was revealed from the document obtained by Telex, which was received by district clerks Last Friday.
Last week, the Ministry of the Interior sent the National Electoral Office demographic data for September 1. The data is NVI company announcement They are sent to the heads of local and regional election offices, that is, the clerks, who must determine by the end of October the number of representatives of the representative bodies to be formed after next year’s local government elections.
amazing Required by lawHow to calculate the number of representative states. In settlements with a population of more than 10,000 and in metropolitan areas, a representative can obtain a mandate in an individual electoral district or on the compensation list.
- 8 individual electoral districts and 3 compensatory list states for up to 25,000 inhabitants,
- 10 individual electoral districts and 4 states for compensation lists of up to 50,000 inhabitants,
- 12 individual electoral districts and 5 compensatory list states for up to 75,000 inhabitants,
- Voters can decide in 14 individual electoral districts and 6 redemption states with populations of up to 100,000.
In settlements or areas with a population of more than 100,000, the number of elected representatives on the compensation list increases by one for every 10,000 additional residents in the individual electoral district, and by one for every 25,000 additional residents.
According to the document obtained by Telex, there have been changes in the above-mentioned bands in five districts of the capital compared to 2019, so 11 fewer representatives can work in Budapest from next October.
Interior Ministry data also show that in September this year, the number of people living in Budapest was 63,000 fewer than in January 2019. The most significant decrease was in Újpest (4th District) and Csepel (21st District), and only the number of Residents of Budafok-Budatétény (District 22) in the past four and a half years.
In Budapest, the population of Districts 1 and 5 fell to less than 25,000. In both regions, 10 unincorporated constituencies remain in 2019, and 4 MPs received mandates from compensation lists. Next June, there will be only 8 electoral districts in the municipality of Budavar, Belvaros and Lipotvaros, and 3 representatives from the compensation list can join the board of directors. Therefore, there will be three fewer representatives in these places as of next October. County clerks have until November 30 to redraw electoral districts. Instead of the previous ten, voters will be divided into 8 electoral districts.
A lot may depend on the modification In the first areaA very intense campaign is expected, as Fidesz will move with all its might to reclaim the region, home to Carmelita and many other important government institutions, from the opposition. In 2019, Marta Naszali was unexpectedly elected mayor in the conservative region, and the opposition coalition candidate won in 8 of the 10 individual electoral districts.
Including places on the compensation list, Fidesz had 5 representatives and the opposition 10 representatives in the representative body. But later, two Jobbik MPs left their party and have since been voting with government MPs on the most important issues. The mayor lost his majority in the General Assembly last summer after Fidesz retook one of the electoral districts from Momentum in by-elections.
the Fifth District It is considered difficult terrain for the opposition. The last two elections were won by Antal Rogan’s successor, Fidesz’s Peter Szentjyorgivolji, and the government party’s candidates won 8 of the 10 individual electoral districts. Now, the leader of the local faction of the opposition parties, Alex Gabor Kovacs, has registered as a mayoral candidate, but according to our information, Momentum also has ambitions to be a candidate for mayor of the region. The composition of the representative body can be determined strongly by redrawing electoral districts.
There will be three fewer reps Fifteenth. Distract And also in the municipality after the population here decreased to less than 75,000 people. Here too, the winner must eliminate two electoral districts, and the candidates must rely on one state less than the list. In 2019, the opposition achieved a major victory in the region: under the leadership of DK Mayor Angela Cerdeny Nemeth, opposition coalition candidates won all 14 individual electoral districts, and Fidesz had to make do with five compensatory seats.
A smaller representative body will be formed after the local government elections next June eleventh. Distract And fourteenth. Distract States are also allocated fewer 1-1 ratios in both places. There will be only 16 individual constituencies in Oyegboda instead of 17, while in Zoglo, the clerk will have to draw 14 constituencies instead of the previous 15 constituencies.
In both places, the opposition is considered the eleventh candidate. In the region in 2019, Imre Laszlo from DK was elected the 14th mayor. and Csaba Horváth of MSZP won the district elections. Fidesz will need a major breakthrough to be able to turn the tables next June, although it is not unlikely in Zoğlu that Csaba Horvath will also have an opposition challenger.
The opposition’s difficult negotiations are certainly not helped by the fact that in many constituencies, parties have to distribute fewer candidate seats among themselves than in 2019, while redrawing electoral districts makes initial estimates difficult.
Four of the five affected areas are currently under opposition leadership Unlike parliamentary elections Here, Fidesz cannot be accused of so-called gerrymandering, that is, altering electoral districts in favor of the ruling parties. The municipal elections and the European Parliament elections will take place on the same day, 9 June 2024. After municipal representatives are elected for a five-year term in 2019, the newly formed bodies will not begin their work until four months after the 2024 elections, in October next year.
