Support for US President Joe Biden is currently at the same depth as that of former Democratic President Jimmy Carter, who was only sufficient for a historic defeat against Ronald Reagan. Biden lags behind Trump in most states important to the presidential election, while Trump is generally underestimated in opinion polls. At the same time, the former president cannot be completely satisfied either, because it is also divisive, and in addition, Biden and the Democratic Party have so far managed to raise more money.
The center-right Wall Street Journal published a new poll, this time measuring the standing of the presidential candidates from the two main American parties, the Democrats and the Republican Party, Joe Biden and Donald Trump, in seven so-called “battleground” states that are considered decisive regarding… With the final results of the presidential elections in November.
Research was conducted on behalf of the newspaper in mid-March, in which a total of 4,200 voters were interviewed according to
Trump is currently leading in six of the seven battleground states in the presidential election.
The Republican presidential nominee is almost certain to lead in Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania, while the Democratic incumbent is only ahead in Wisconsin, if you can vote for the other candidates besides them — four years ago, among them. Seven states, North Biden won everywhere except Carolina.
Trump is leading well beyond the margin of error in several places, and the former president can also take comfort in the fact that in the past his support has always been underestimated in public opinion polls, with many people preferring not to accept him if they vote for Trump. .
The fate of the presidential elections will be decided in the states examined in the research. These seven states have a total of 93 electoral votes, and the candidate must collect a total of 270 votes to win the presidential elections.
Biden is much worse than he was four years ago
Survey data according to Joe Biden could be concerned primarily that Americans are woefully dissatisfied with his work — his approval rating is almost as low as Jimmy Carter's approval rating for a single term in 1979 — and, in addition, that he is worse in important demographic and voter groups. Compared to 2020: As we recently presented, a small portion of African Americans, while a large portion of Latinos, have turned away from him and his party in the past four years.
Biden's rejection is mostly due to the bad economic feeling among Americans.
Despite the fact that, according to macro figures, the US economy is doing well and a recession has been avoided, many families do not see this as the case, and, moreover, the US President is not helped by the fact that people do not. He attributes the positives of his decisions to him, and Trump, according to the majority of participants, will be able to deal with economic problems better than him.
Research participants also believe the politician, who turns 82 this year, is declining physically and mentally – although his year-end speech this year was particularly powerful and error-free, this does not appear at all in the search results.
Biden will also have trouble rebuilding the broad anti-Trump voter coalition he built in 2020.
According to press reports, his team hopes that these voters will rally behind him again as the elections approach, but the party's leftist voters have repeatedly expressed their dissatisfaction in this regard due to his policy towards Israel.
Trump is better off, but the game is not over yet
Meanwhile, Biden is lucky that his rival Donald Trump is not the most popular candidate either. Although he is more popular than Biden, the majority of voters still do not like him and, in fact, consider the Republican presidential nominee not a good candidate at all, almost on the same level as Biden.
In addition, Trump's chances could be hurt by the criminal proceedings against him and some of his political views.
Although a majority of voters believe Trump will handle inflation and the economy better, his views on abortion are unpopular, which could scare away women's votes. By the way, he already had problems with this during the primaries, where the majority of women in Garden City voted against him – and in the 2020 presidential election, this voting segment was one of the reasons for his defeat.
What makes the former president's situation even more difficult is that independents who declare that they are neither Democrats nor Republicans could become insecure if they are convicted in the four criminal proceedings against him.
In addition, given the strategy of starting negotiations as late as possible, it is conceivable that they will begin just before the election, when people primarily follow political news.
Biden and Democrats have raised more money so far
In addition, it is also important that Trump and the Republican Party somehow work to reduce their financial disadvantage to Biden and the Democrats.
As is Axios He summarized this, according to data at the end of last February
- For the presidential election, Biden has so far raised more than double what Trump has raised ($71 million versus $33.5 million).
- The Democratic Party's national organization also raised more than the Republicans (26.5 million compared to 11.3 million),
- But for the House and Senate races, Democratic donors have so far donated more (59.2 million vs. 45.2 million, the latter 31.9 million vs. 24.8 million).
Due to pressure from Donald Trump, the head of the Republican Party was replaced partly for this reason, because according to Trump and Republicans loyal to him, Ronna McDaniel did not manage the party's finances well at all in the last election.
Partially because of this or not, but in March he already had a lot of money To collect The party, however, still lags behind the Democrats in this regard – for example, Biden managed to raise $25 million in just one night, when he held a fundraising evening with former Democratic presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama.
In addition, Trump has to spend a lot of money on his legal cases, and he also spends a portion of campaign donations on his legal expenses.
a New York times According to his calculations, since Trump left the White House, he has spent a total of $100 million on legal fees since then, and this does not include fines and damages awarded by the courts, or future fees.
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