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Al Rawidh Institute: Economic growth is expected to be two percent and accelerate inflation this year

Al Rawidh Institute: Economic growth is expected to be two percent and accelerate inflation this year

Balance Climate According to the expansion of the Hungarian GDP in 2025, the expansion of the Hungarian GDP may slow 2.5 percent in 2026, and inflation will slow until the middle of the year after the peak in January, and then begins a permanent rise. The joint founder and director of economic research at the Institute of Politics in Infuardio said that the Hungarian economy engine can be consumed, which can be expanded this year through real wages.

Ákos Kozák added that they must change the data down due to the relatively low annual GDP of 0.5 percent in 2024. With the economy performing a quieter performance last year and no greater expansion occurred, there is a kind of caution between analysts. As a result, the institute decreased by 0.2 percent, and thus expected only 2 percent growth this year.

The Econic-Iconist specialist-the fact that GDP growth is 2.5-3 percent next year. The average real wages may also increase in the years or two years, which may increase consumption. According to ákos Kozák, you can trust a favorable shift because in the following period not only for services but also

When buying durable or daily store articles, you may have a higher demand for order, and investments may start to grow.

The director of economic research for the institute also dealt with the expected inflation. As he said, inflation expectations were slightly higher compared to their recent expectations: by 2025, 4.1 and 2026 expectations of public prices are about 5 percent. Ákos Kozák believes that annual inflation is 4.1 percent may be realistic, given that in January 2025, consumer prices were on average 5.5 percent in the previous year.

He pointed out that the unfavorable January data will certainly be cautious to the leaders and actors of economic policy because “everyone accompanies very high inflation for 2023.” Ákos kozák stressed that in recent months, not only the prices of food restrictions but also high inflation in services. As he put it, “individual groups of consumption contribute differently to high inflation.”

At the same time, the institute's economic research director also added that small and medium -sized Hungarian institutions should be made the largest number of suppliers chains.

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