The previous record was measured in 2016, when the average surface temperature of the Earth was 1.2 ° C above the average for the period 1850-1900.
According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) forecast, the global average temperature record could be broken as early as this year or in one of the next four years. The United Nations, citing an analysis by the British Meteorological Service (Met Office), warns that the probability of this is 90 per cent.
The previous record was measured in 2016, when the average surface temperature of the Earth was 1.2 ° C above the average for the period 1850-1900.
The years 2019 and 2020 showed roughly the same value, with the ten years between 2011 and 2020 being the hottest decade on record. According to experts, it is possible that in one of the years from 2021 to 2025, temperature values will rise by 1.5 ° C above pre-industrial levels. The probability that this will happen is currently 40 percent, but it’s steadily increasing.
This is not just a statistic. Rising temperatures mean higher melting ice, rising sea levels, more heat waves and other extreme weather events that can have dire consequences for food safety, health, the environment and sustainable development.
WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas said.
Talas called on all countries to reduce greenhouse gases harmful to the climate faster than planned.
New WMO forecasts indicate that 2021 will be drier in southwestern North America compared to the average between 1981 and 2010, while Australia and sub-Saharan Africa will be wetter.
The period 2021-2025 will be warmer than the 1981-2010 average in all regions, except for some regions of Oceania and the North Atlantic. And in the Atlantic Ocean, tropical storms are likely to be more common. (MTI)