Donald Trump His victory could weaken the security of the Eastern and Central European region due to Trump's more realistic approach towards NATO and Russia. Kamala Harris But under his presidency, the United States' committed role as a partner in the region could be strengthened, especially in the areas of security policy, trade, and democratic governance. Readable In a recent study conducted by Grayling, an international communications agency that also deals with public affairs.
In their view, overall, Central and Eastern European countries will have to navigate a more ambiguous and perhaps less supportive transatlantic relationship under another Trump administration, while Harris will provide political reassurance to the region due to continued US support against Russian aggression and will provide US support against Russian aggression. . Cooperation is likely to link the United States and the European Union and advance shared values and goals on both sides of the Atlantic.
Grayling also discussed the impact that the outcome of the presidential election will have on bilateral relations. In the case of Hungary, they came to the conclusion that
Hungary's growing relationship with China will be a source of conflict with both the Harris administration and the Trump administration.
Including the Chinese-financed Budapest-Belgrade railway, a €1 billion loan from Chinese banks, and the attractiveness of Chinese battery and electric car factories. Regardless of who wins the election, if anti-China voices in the US State Department intensify, Hungarian-US relations may remain tense.
However, there may be differences in other aspects. According to the analysis, under a democratic government, Hungary could count on increased criticism from Washington, especially regarding issues of the rule of law, the operation of the Office for the Protection of Hungarian Sovereignty, and LGBT rights, while during a second Trump cycle, the Hungarian government would likely have open support on social issues. And cultural.
Regarding Poland, the study indicates that if Trump wins, the relationship between Warsaw and Washington could deteriorate significantly and that the Polish Law and Justice Party, which is in power until 2023, and the Polish President, Andrzej Duda The president's future may depend on the outcome of the US elections.
If Donald Trump, whose son-in-law plans to build luxury real estate in Belgrade, wins, relations between Serbia and the United States are expected to strengthen further. According to pro-European analysts, an eventual Harris victory could provide more long-term benefits, as it would likely lead to increased demands for greater democracy in Serbian society and a more decisive turn away from eastern partners such as Russia and China, Grayling writes.
The most important question, of course, is the situation in Ukraine, where the United States provides approximately 62 percent of international aid. In the event of a Harris victory and a Democratic-controlled Congress, no major changes should be expected. However, if Harris wins, but both chambers will be under Republican control, there may be a delay in aid to Ukraine. If Trump wins, the most likely scenario is US pressure to start Ukrainian-Russian negotiations, and Washington will likely try to influence the situation by reducing military and financial support, the analysis says.
