The new forecasts were prepared as part of the Climate Action Tracking Analysis (CAT) project, whose findings were presented by climate researcher Niklas Hohn on Tuesday with German Environment Minister Svenia Schultz on the occasion of the 12th Petersberg Climate Conference.
Although they worked with an optimistic scenario, the researchers say that if plans are not in place for further measures to mitigate climate change, by 2100 the temperature could rise by as much as 2.9 ° C. If more measures were taken to reduce emissions, the rate of warming could remain 2 ° C.
Currently, 131 countries have set a goal of becoming climate neutral. This represents a “clearly critical mass”, covering 73 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions.
However, to achieve the goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement, temperature increases must be mitigated by 1.5 ° C by the end of the century. To this end, based on knowledge of the Convention against Torture, global emissions must be cut in half by 2030.
But for now, we’re not moving in that direction, according to Honey. The researcher said, “There is a big gap between needs and reality.” Some countries, such as the United States, Britain, or Argentina, have set ambitious climate targets. On the other hand, other countries, such as Australia and Brazil, did not live up to expectations.
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