The Democratic voting base has begun to line up behind Joe Biden despite doubts surrounding his age, the country's development strategy, and especially the state of the economy. It turns out that From a poll just published by The New York Times and Siena College.
The increase in support for Biden may be due to improved opinion among his electoral base. Public opinion polling suggests a close contest again this year – just as in the previous two presidential elections, when the final outcome was decided by a few tens of thousands of votes in euphemistically called “battleground” states. In such circumstances, even the slightest shift in popularity can be decisive.
Support for Donald Trump first rose – last March – when he faced off against his Republican rivals. For example, the fact that there were rumors about him being behind bars played not a small role in this matter.
Eight months later, in November of last year, dozens of opinion polls showed that the current president was losing popularity to his Republican rival.
But in the hypothetical competition for the “keys of the White House,” the current leader gained some advantages over the former president in February of this year. The race is not over yet, one historian claims. Alan Lichtman has been predicting elections since 1984, and so far he has not been wrong. He predicts the outcome based on a system he has developed, usually accurately. He did not claim that Biden would win, but merely said: Trump's victory is not yet certain.
Trump lost two points, Biden gained two points – in two months
He asked, “If the 2024 presidential elections were held today, who would you vote for, Joe Biden or Donald Trump?” – Among other things, this simple question was asked to 1,059 registered voters in the current poll.
46 percent of participants chose the name Trump, and 45 percent chose the name Biden. The percentage of unsure is 8 percent.
The overall result is not 100 percent due to rounding.
Nearly two-thirds of respondents, 64% to be exact, believe the nation is moving in the wrong direction. Even more people, 80%, believe the economic situation is fair or quite bad – including a majority of Democrats.
Both candidates are unpopular for several reasons. The majority of survey participants believe that Biden is old, and regardless of his party affiliation, the majority believe that Trump committed serious federal crimes.
By the way, at the end of February, there is another one, which looks like a hair According to the survey Donald Trump led by 48 percent compared to 43 percent for Joe Biden. In a joint poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, 10% of thousands of voters were undecided or refused to answer.
The “least bad” candidate.
I'm leaning towards Biden. “I'll choose the lesser of two evils,” a 59-year-old hairdresser expressed the dilemma of many Americans.
You can recover from bad policy, but not from a bad decision
– argued Beth Prevost, who believes Trump would be a bad decision.
The current poll was conducted immediately before Trump's historic criminal trial. This title is no exaggeration: no American president has ever been accused of a crime before. There are four cases against him, but this is the only case that began before the presidential elections in November.
Although the Republican nominee faces prison time in a criminal trial, only a quarter of respondents are concerned about the “challenges to justice” faced by the former president.
The Biden campaign hopes the specter of a second Trump cycle will draw wavering Democrats back to their traditional party lines. This has some basis in reality.
While Biden's support among white voters was unchanged in the past month, it increased among Black and Latino voters — though still below traditional results for Democrats. The president performed “better” in the suburbs and among women, and less well among men. He was unable to win over younger voters; older voters improved his balance.
Incidentally, Trump's approval rating is a little better: 43 percent compared to 41 percent for Biden.
Evaluation of the economy
Age is Joe Biden's biggest flaw, even though he is only three years older than his Republican rival.
He is considered too old by 69% of voters to hold office, although that percentage has dropped significantly among those over 65.
Hungarians see Donald Trump as the key to peace and security, the Századvég Foundation announced the results of its poll published at the beginning of March. By the way, according to the Americans, Trump resolves foreign conflicts better than Biden, but they are more concerned with the state of the economy. 85% of young people consider what the president is doing to be completely bad or adequate at best Ecology It is named after its electoral flag.
The economic management of Trump and Biden was rated by respondents almost entirely in the opposite direction: 64% approve of Trump and 63% disapprove of Biden's economic policy.
Trump supporters form a small majority on immigration policy, while 64% of voters believe that Biden is handling the issue poorly.
On the other hand, he received a better rating than Trump in developing the nation’s ability to unify, in resolving race relations, and in dealing with the epidemic.
Almost the same percentage of respondents consider Trump and Biden a “risky choice” from the US point of view.
(Cover photo: Andrew Harnick/Getty Images)
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